Chapter 220: The Decision in Edo Castle
Edo Castle, Japan
Early November 1836
The message had been understood.
That alone had changed everything.
Before, the presence of the foreign ship had been something unclear, something that could be dismissed as exaggeration or confusion. Now, there were no doubts left. The letter had been read, the intentions laid out in direct terms, and the name behind it had been explained in full.
France was not like the others.
That was no longer a matter of opinion.
It was fact.
Inside Edo Castle, the council had been called once again. This time, there was no delay in gathering them. The matter could not be left to pass through layers of discussion over weeks. It required a decision now, while the foreign fleet still waited in the bay.
The chamber was quiet when the senior officials entered.
Not silent in the way of ceremony, but in the way of people who understood that what would be decided here would not remain within these walls.
Tokugawa Ienari sat at the center, his posture unchanged from the previous meetings. Age had slowed his movements, but not his presence. His eyes moved across the room as each official took his place.
Abe Masahiro knelt to his right, his expression composed, his thoughts already arranged. Matsudaira Nobuaki sat further across, his posture rigid, his jaw set in a way that made his position clear even before he spoke. Hotta Masayoshi remained slightly behind them, quiet, observant, the kind of man who listened before choosing his words.
The Dutch translator stood near the edge of the chamber once again, though his role this time was reduced. The message had already been read. Now, it was about what came next.
Tokugawa Ienari did not open the discussion immediately.
He let the silence settle first.
Then he spoke.
"They have returned."
The words were simple.
No one needed more.
Abe was the first to respond.
"Yes, my lord," he said. "They remain in the bay. They have not advanced further."
"They wait," Tokugawa Ienari said.
"Yes."
Matsudaira let out a quiet breath.
"They wait because they expect an answer," he said. "We should not give them one."
Abe turned his head slightly toward him.
"And what would you do instead?"
"We deny them," Matsudaira replied without hesitation. "As we have always done. We close the bay. We send them away."
Hotta finally spoke.
"And if they do not leave?"
Matsudaira met his gaze.
"They will."
"That is an assumption," Hotta said.
"It is based on history."
Abe shook his head slightly.
"This is not the same as before."
Matsudaira’s expression hardened.
"You said that before," he said. "And yet, they left."
"They left because they had already achieved what they wanted," Abe replied. "They delivered their message. They showed their strength. Now they are waiting to see how we respond."
Matsudaira did not answer immediately.
The point had landed.
Tokugawa Ienari watched them both.
"What do you believe they will do if we refuse?" he asked.
Abe answered first.
"They will return again," he said. "Not just to deliver a message, but to enforce it."
Matsudaira shook his head.
"You assume too much. They are far from their own lands. They rely on long supply lines. They cannot sustain pressure here."
Hotta spoke again, his tone calm.
"They have already reached our shores once," he said. "And they did so without difficulty. That alone should be considered."
Matsudaira frowned.
"A single ship does not mean strength."
"It was not a single ship," Hotta replied. "And even if it were, it was enough."
The room settled into a brief silence.
Tokugawa Ienari leaned slightly forward.
"You saw the reports," he said. "You heard the description of the vessel."
No one disagreed.
"They speak of metal," he continued. "Of movement without wind. Of weapons that sound like thunder."
Matsudaira exhaled through his nose.
"Fear exaggerates," he said.
Abe looked at him.
"All of them exaggerated in the same way?"
Matsudaira did not respond.
Hotta shifted slightly.
"The translator confirmed their strength," he said. "And the situation in China."
That drew attention again.
"They forced China to open," Abe said. "That is not a rumor. That is confirmed."
Matsudaira’s jaw tightened.
"China is not Japan."
"No," Abe said. "But it is not weak."
The weight of that statement remained in the air.
Tokugawa Ienari spoke again.
"If they can force China," he said, "then we must consider that they may attempt the same here."
No one spoke immediately after that.
Because this was the first time the possibility had been stated so directly.
Abe lowered his gaze slightly before speaking.
"My lord, we must think beyond this moment," he said. "This is not just about one ship or one request. This is about what follows after."
Tokugawa Ienari watched him.
"Continue."
Abe took a steady breath.
"If we refuse them completely, we risk provoking a stronger response. They may return with more ships, more force, and less patience."
Matsudaira shook his head.
"Or they may leave," he said. "As others have."
Abe met his gaze.
"Do you believe that?"
Matsudaira did not answer.
Not immediately.
Hotta spoke next.
"There is another option," he said.
The room shifted slightly.
"Speak."
"We allow limited contact," Hotta said. "Not in Edo. Not openly. Controlled. Restricted. Observed."
Matsudaira turned toward him.
"That is the beginning of opening the country."
"It is the beginning of control," Hotta replied.
Abe nodded slightly.
"We do not give them what they want fully," he said. "But we do not deny them entirely either."
"And what do they want?" Matsudaira asked.
Abe answered clearly.
"Access."
"And if we give them even a small amount of that," Matsudaira said, "they will demand more."
"Yes," Abe said.
The admission came without hesitation.
"And what happens when we refuse the next demand?" Matsudaira pressed.
Abe held his gaze.
"Then we deal with it from a position of preparation, not ignorance."
The room grew quiet again.
Tokugawa Ienari leaned back slightly.
His expression had not changed, but his eyes moved carefully between each of them.
"You are asking me to change the course of this country," he said.
Abe lowered his head.
"Yes."
Matsudaira spoke quickly.
"My lord, this policy has protected us for generations. We have remained stable while others have fallen into chaos. There is no reason to abandon it because of one foreign power."
Hotta answered him.
"It is not one power," he said. "It is the world beyond our borders."
Matsudaira’s voice sharpened.
"And you would open the gates to it?"
"No," Hotta replied. "I would control how it enters."
Tokugawa Ienari raised his hand.
The room fell silent at once.
He remained still for a moment.
Then he spoke.
"We will not open the country fully."
Matsudaira lowered his head slightly.
"Yes, my lord."
"We will not abandon our control."
Abe nodded.
"Yes."
A brief pause followed.
Then Tokugawa Ienari continued.
"But we will not ignore what stands before us."
The words settled.
Abe’s expression shifted slightly.
"My lord..."
"We will allow limited contact," the shogun said. "Controlled. Restricted. Away from Edo."
Matsudaira’s head lifted.
"My lord, that is—"
"It is a decision," Tokugawa Ienari said.
Matsudaira fell silent.
Hotta lowered his head.
"Yes, my lord."
Abe did the same.
"Yes."
The decision had been made.
Not fully open.
Not fully closed.
Balanced.
Controlled.
But different from what had come before.
Tokugawa Ienari looked toward the door.
"They are waiting," he said.
"Yes," Abe replied.
"Then we will answer."
The room remained still.
Because now, the next step would not be internal.
It would be delivered.
